Thursday, April 20, 2017

4022

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Salary is $2400-$5600.

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Best regards!

Thursday, March 23, 2017

1633

Dear raymond.clough.howbadonearth,

We are looking for employees working remotely.

My name is Delmer, I am the personnel manager of a large International company.
Most of the work you can do from home, that is, at a distance.
Salary is $2100-$5100.

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Best regards!

Wednesday, March 1, 2017

Compliments

Dear raymond.clough.howbadonearth,

We are looking for employees working remotely.

My name is Jerrold, I am the personnel manager of a large International company.
Most of the work you can do from home, that is, at a distance.
Salary is $2100-$5800.

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Best regards!

Saturday, March 5, 2016

World Economy

SOURCE: http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/mar/02/is-the-world-economy-having-a-2008-moment-stock-markets-financial-crisis


Is the world economy having a 2008 moment?



The question I am asked most often nowadays is this: are we back to 2008 and another global financial crisis and recession?
My answer is a straightforward no, but that the recent episode of global financial market turmoil is likely to be more serious than any period of volatility and risk-off behaviour since 2009. This is because there are now at least seven sources of global tail risk, as opposed to the single factors – the eurozone crisis, the Federal Reserve “taper tantrum,” a possible Greek exit from the eurozone, and a hard economic landing in China – that have fuelled volatility in recent years.
First, worries about a hard landing in China and its likely impact on the stock market and the value of the renminbi have returned with a vengeance. While China is more likely to have a bumpy landing than a hard one, investors’ concerns have yet to be laid to rest, owing to the ongoing growth slowdown and continued capital flight.
Second, emerging markets are in serious trouble. They face global headwinds (China’s slowdown, the end of the commodity super cycle, the Fed’s exit from zero policy rates). Many are running macro imbalances, such as twin current account and fiscal deficits, and confront rising inflation and slowing growth. Most have not implemented structural reforms to boost sagging potential growth. And currency weakness increases the real value of trillions of dollars of debt built up in the last decade.
Third, the Fed probably erred in exiting its zero-interest-rate policy in December. Weaker growth, lower inflation (owing to a further decline in oil prices), and tighter financial conditions (via a stronger dollar, a corrected stock market, and wider credit spreads) now threaten US growth and inflation expectations.
Fourth, many simmering geopolitical risks are coming to a boil. Perhaps the most immediate source of uncertainty is the prospect of a long-term cold war – punctuated by proxy conflicts – between the Middle East’s regional powers, particularly Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia Iran.
Fifth, the decline in oil prices is triggering falls in US and global equities and spikes in credit spreads. This may now signal weak global demand – rather than rising supply – as growth in China, emerging markets, and the US slows.
Weak oil prices also damage US energy producers, which comprise a large share of the US stock market, and impose credit losses and potential defaults on net energy exporting economies, their sovereigns, state-owned enterprises, and energy firms. As regulations restrict market makers from providing liquidity and absorbing market volatility, every fundamental shock becomes more severe in terms of risk-asset price corrections.
Sixth, global banks are challenged by lower returns, owing to the new regulations put in place since 2008, the rise of financial technology that threatens to disrupttheir already-challenged business models, the growing use of negative policy rates, rising credit losses on bad assets (energy, commodities, emerging markets, fragile European corporate borrowers), and the movement in Europe to “bail in” banks’ creditors, rather than bail them out with now-restricted state aid.
Finally, the European Union and the eurozone could be ground zero of global financial turmoilthis year. European banks are challenged. The migration crisis could lead to the end of the Schengen Agreement, and (together with other domestic troubles) to the end of German chancellor Angela Merkel’s government.
Moreover, Britain’s exit from the EU is becoming more likely. With the Greek government and its creditors once again on a collision course, the risk of Greece’s exit may return. Populist parties of the right and the left are gaining strength throughout Europe. Thus, Europe increasingly risks disintegration. To top it all off, its neighborhood is unsafe, with wars raging not only in the Middle East, but also – despite repeated attempts by the EU to broker peace – in Ukraine, while Russia is becoming more aggressive on Europe’s borders, from the Baltics to the Balkans.
In the past, tail risks were more occasional, growth scares turned out to be just that, and the policy response was strong and effective, thereby keeping risk-off episodes brief and restoring asset prices to their previous highs (if not taking them even higher). Today, there are seven sources of potential global tail risk, and the global economy is moving from an anemic expansion (positive growth that accelerates) to a slowdown (positive growth that decelerates), which will lead to further reduction in the price of risky assets (equities, commodities, credit) worldwide.
At the same time, the policies that stopped and reversed the doom loop between the real economy and risk assets are running out of steam. The policy mix is suboptimal, owing to excessive reliance on monetary rather than fiscal policy. Indeed, monetary policies are becoming increasingly unconventional, reflected in the move by several central banks to negative real policy rates; and such unconventional policies risk doing more harm than good as they hurt the profitability of banks and other financial firms.
Two dismal months for financial markets may give way in March to a relief rally for assets such as global equities, as some key central banks (the People’s Bank of China, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan) ease more, while others (the Fed and the Bank of England) will remain on hold for longer. But repeated eruptions from some of the seven sources of global tail risk will make the rest of this year – unlike the previous seven – a bad one for risky assets and anaemic for global growth.
 Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern school of business and chairman ofRoubini Global Economics

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Cotopaxi eruption: What's with all the volcanoes these days?

SOURCE: http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2015/0816/Cotopaxi-eruption-What-s-with-all-the-volcanoes-these-days

Cotopaxi eruption: What's with all the volcanoes these days?

Volcanic activity in Cotopaxi, a volcano near the capital of Ecuador, is the latest incident in recent months, during which a number of volcanoes have come to life.

Ecuador President Rafael Correa on Saturday declared a state of emergency following increased activity in the Cotopaxi volcano near the capital, Quito, the day before.

The decision, which comes in the wake of two minor explosions at Cotopaxi on Friday and led to a precautionary evacuation of small towns in the central part of the country, gives authorities greater flexibility to move government funds in the event of an eruption, Reuters reports.

"We declare a state of emergency due to the unusual activity of Mount Cotopaxi," President Correa said, according to the wire service. "God willing, everything will go well and the volcano will not erupt."

Recommended: World's most active volcanoes

Cotopaxi is the latest to reflect a recent series of volcanic activity around the world, including ash emissions from Raung volcano in East Java, Indonesia which led to the closing of airports in Bali and shallow explosions at Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan. In 2014, volcanoes in Hawaii, Alaska, Italy, and Iceland, among other places, showed signs of activity.

csmarchives/2010/10/1026-Stromboli-volcano.jpg

What's causing these volcanoes to come to life?

One cause could be shifts in the Earth's rate of rotation. Since the late 19th century, relatively large changes in the velocity of the Earth's spin tended to be followed by an increase in volcanic activity, a 2014 study published in the journal Terra Nova found.

As Robin Wylie, a postdoctoral researcher in volcanology at the University College of London, explained in The Conversation:

Altering the spin of a planet, even by a small amount, requires a huge amount of energy. It has been estimated that changes in the Earth's rotation rate dissipate around 120,000 petajoules of energy each year – enough to power the United States for the same length of time. This energy is transferred into the Earth's atmosphere and subsurface. And it is this second consequence that the Terra Nova authors believe could affect volcanoes.

Another cause, scientists say, is climate change. Over the last few years, "new evidence suggests that the volcano-climate relationship can go the other way, too: Periods of warming after ice ages can lead to volcanic eruptions," according to Popular Science.

When glaciers melt as a result of rising temperatures, pressure on continents start to drop, while the rise in sea level increases pressures on portions of the Earth's crust beneath the ocean, a 2012 study in the journal Geology found. The changing pressures could cause increases in volcanic activity, although it was unclear whether human-caused climate change could lead to the same impact, Marion Jegen, a geophysicist at Germany's  Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research and co-author of the study told LiveScience.

A more recent study, conducted in geologically active Iceland, found that less pressure on the Earth's surface could result in a "softer, more molten subsurface," which makes it easier for magma chambers to reach the surface and lead to volcanic eruptions, Time reports.

"As the glaciers melt, the pressure on the underlying rocks decreases," Kathleen Compton of the University of Arizona, a geoscientist and one of the paper's co-authors, told the magazine. "Rocks at very high temperatures may stay in their solid phase if the pressure is high enough. As you reduce the pressure, you effectively lower the melting temperature."

As yet, there's no solid evidence connecting these findings and the volcanic activity occurring in the world today. Or as Dr. Wylie put it: "The link between climate change and volcanism is still poorly understood."

Still, he continued, "this strange effect is a reminder that our planet can respond to change in unforeseen ways. Contrary to their brutish reputation, volcanoes are helping scientists understand just how sensitive our planet can be."

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Sunday, April 26, 2015

For Sale

Greetings Friends,

 I  am doing spring cleaning and having a sale. Over the decades I have acquired a variety of stuff. 

Understanding math and the six degrees of separation I would like to encourage you to send this link to your list.  The incentive is I will pay you 10% of the sale price via paypal, google wallet or cash. 

Some items are small and I can ship throughout the US. I will be posting more stuff as I get it sorted, logged and imaged.  
 
Considering the etiquette of internet email and the techniques of effective email communication via  "Direct Email".  Coming from a trusted source I suggest you do not forward this email.  Instead copy the URL above and past it into your own email with a sentence or two about the items and me if you like. 
Here is my bio which needs to be update and I'll eventually get to it. 

Thanks, 
Raymond Arthur Clough Jr.