Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Google News: World 'Close' to Recession: Stanley Fischer

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World 'Close' to Recession: Stanley Fischer STANLEY FISCHER, ISRAEL, MIDDLE EAST, IRAN, WORLD, RECESSION, ECB, QE, QUANTITATIVE EASING, CNBC.com | 23 Oct 2012 | 04:15 AM ET The global economy is "close" to a recession despite mass liquidity injections, Stanley Fischer, the head of the Bank of Israel told CNBC, though he added that it wasn't clear if the economy would actually enter one because of a small improvement in confidence recently. "Stock markets are up, possibly (because of) QE3 in the United States, the new policies of the ECB, Bank of Japan, Chinese have done something to the financial markets, so we may be seeing improvement, but it was going down before that," Fischer said in an interview in Jerusalem. The former chief economist of the World Bank and former vice chairman of Citigroup, who was tipped as a potential head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) before Christine Lagarde's election, was cautiously optimistic about the impact of a third round of quantitative




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The global economy is "close" to a recession despite mass liquidity injections, Stanley Fischer, the head of the Bank of Israel told CNBC, though he added that it wasn't clear if the economy would actually enter one because of a small improvement in ...
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Friday, October 12, 2012

Google News: Finance leaders to address global economic threats

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Finance leaders to address global economic threats MARTIN C RUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer Updated 10:11 a.m., Thursday, October 11, 2012 WASHINGTON (AP) — When global finance ministers meet this week in Tokyo, they'll confront a triple challenge: Economic troubles in three major regions are threatening the world's economy. And political conflicts are complicating the problem. Europe is gripped by a debt crisis and stalled growth. A budget standoff in the United States is set to trigger tax increases and spending cuts and perhaps a recession. A weaker Asia is slowing worldwide growth. Mindful of those threats, the International Monetary Fund has turned gloomier about the global economy. And it's warning that even its dimmer outlook might prove too optimistic if Europe and the United States fail to resolve their crises. Developed countries are facing a heightened risk of recession, and their troubles threaten China and other emerging economies, the IMF says in its updated World Economic




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Page 1 of 1. WASHINGTON (AP) - When global finance ministers meet this week in Tokyo, they'll confront a triple challenge: Economic troubles in three major regions are threatening the world's economy. And political conflicts are complicating the problem.
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Google News: Highlights: IMF, World Bank meetings in Tokyo

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Highlights: IMF, World Bank meetings in Tokyo 9:29am EDT TOKYO (Reuters) - The following are comments on Friday from finance officials in Tokyo for the semiannual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. BANK OF JAPAN GOVERNOR MASAAKI SHIRAKAWA: "The global economy has not yet returned to robust growth ... It is inevitable that economic growth would stagnate as debt is reduced, because economic agents will reduce spending while they reduce debt." "Inopportune and inappropriate policies driven by discontent by (the) general public ... destabilize the global economy." "No responsible policymaker could dismiss the cross-border, spillover effect of their policies. Central bankers are buying time (with their ultra-easy policies) ... and the time must be used wisely. Monetary policy cannot replace structural reforms (that must be) undertaken by government." RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA GOVERNOR GLENN STEVENS: "There is a long way to go in Europe, but to give some credit where




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TOKYO (Reuters) - The following are comments on Friday from finance officials in Tokyo for the semiannual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank.
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Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Google News: Kazakh Grain Crop Plunges 47% as Drought Affects Growing Areas

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The grain crop in Kazakhstan, Central Asia's biggest wheat producer, shrank by 47 percent this season as a drought persisted in main growing regions in summer, according to the Agriculture Ministry.




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The grain crop in Kazakhstan, Central Asia's biggest wheat producer, shrank by 47 percent this season as a drought persisted in main growing regions in summer, according to the Agriculture Ministry.
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Google News: Dire prediction on global economy from IMF, pessimism about US earnings send ...

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Indexes fell on Wall Street as investors reacted to another weak forecast on the global economy and ahead of the traditional start of earnings season: results from Alcoa, the aluminum maker and economic bellwether, which come out after the closing bell.




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Indexes fell on Wall Street as investors reacted to another weak forecast on the global economy and ahead of the traditional start of earnings season: results from Alcoa, the aluminum maker and economic bellwether, which come out after the closing bell.
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Economic News

Friends, 
    Hopefully you have been watching the news. 
You ever wake up and look at the thermometer coool  42 F. put a nice sweater on and go out side to FREEZE.  the thermometer is BRook its really 28 F 
 So when you want the local weather you get the temp. humidity, prevailing winds ( thats very important).  
If you understand scientific investigation and you want the weather in the Future you need a lot more: barometric pressure, Jet Stream flow, need to study the "whole climate system".

The truth of the matter is the World Economies are in trouble with a Capital T.    The Financial systems of the  largest Economies of the world are in Serious Trouble. 
Partly because computer are using algorythums to create profit based on buy and sell number in fractions, not what the "economic systems" were designed for. 

I dont have anything to sell you and I am not giving advice on what to do, I am just reporting what I know to be true. Scientific analysis has been my predisposition for decades. On line Blog http://www.economic-collapse.blogspot.com

Text of Blog.

The largest economy in the world is the European Union.

This is what has been happening there for years. 

Greece and Spain are experiencing economic depressions which continue to get worse.   Italy and France are headed down the same road as Greece and Spain. 

Violent protests and economic unrest dominate European newspapers. 

European leaders hold meetings, but all of the "solutions" that get announced nothing seems to get fixed. 

The Greek government said they will completely run out of cash by the end of November.

The Greek economy contracted by 4.9 percent during 2010 and by 7.1  % during 2011. The Greek economy has contracted by about 20 percent since 2008.

     Greece continues to implement wave after wave of austerity measures which have pushed the country into a deep depression. Greece is still spending more money than it is bringing in. The Prime Minister Antonis Samaras said, "Greek democracy stands before what is perhaps its greatest challenge,  Citizens know that this government is Greece's last chance." 
Samaras has repeatedly appealed for international lenders at the EU and IMF to relax the extreme conditions of the bailout.

    The solution is not sustainable, borrow more, pass the burden onto the next generation. Eventually the U.S. and much of Europe will follow the same path of financial collapse. 

Spain is the 12th largest economy in the world and said it will need no help.

When Greece first started austerity measures, Spain said it would never happen to them.  Spain is in the middle of a down slide akin to the Great Depression of the 1930's. The unemployment rate for those under the age of 25 is now above 50 percent.

True: 9.8 % of all loans Spanish banks hold are considered to be bad loans. 
Manufacturing in Spain has contracted for 17 months in a row.

The number of corporate bankruptcies in Spain is rising.
Five Spanish regions have requested financial help from the national government.  Spain's largest bank, Banco Santander SA, lost 6.3 percent of its domestic deposits in July and savings at Banco Popular Espanol SA, fell 9.5 %.
A total of 326 billion euros was removed by depositors from banks in Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Greece in the 12 months ended July 31.

Eurobank Ergasias SA, Greece's second-largest lender, lost 22 % of its customer deposits in the 12 months ended March 31.   Alpha Bank SA (ALPHA), the country's third-biggest, lost 26 % of savings.
The equivalent of 7 % of GDP was withdrawn from the Spanish banks  in the month of July.

But Greece and Spain are not alone in economic distress.

     The number of unemployed workers in Italy has risen by more than 37 percent over the past year.
The unemployment rate in France is now above 10 %, and has risen for 16 months.
The chief economist at the IMF  now says that it will take until  2018 for the global economy to recover.
Depression is sweeping much of south  Europe.
The largest economy in the world (EU)  is crashing and most persons do not recognize it.
I'll be writing more as necessary. 

Raymond Clough

PH 541-288-1729



Thursday, October 4, 2012

Google News: Global economy to remain fragile until 2018, according to IMF

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Global economy to remain fragile until 2018, according to IMF - The global economy will not be back in 'decent shape' until at least 2018, the International Monetary Fund's chief economist has warned.




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The global economy will not be back in 'decent shape' until at least 2018, the International Monetary Fund's chief economist has warned.
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